It Couldn’t Have Been, Could It…?

Ian

Ian began writing Twohundredpercent in May 2006. He lives in Brighton. He has also written for, amongst others, Pitch Invasion, FC Business Magazine, The Score, When Saturday Comes, Stand Against Modern Football and The Football Supporter. Ian was the first winner of the Socrates Award For Not Being Dead Yet at the 2010 NOPA awards for football bloggers.

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5 Responses

  1. sp3ktor says:

    getting a 6/1, 4/1, 2/1 accumulator is rare but isn’t unheard of – probably about the equivalent of guessing the correct score in two games.

    I agree, if they’d fixed it, surely they would have made a better job of it. But even using the old hot and cold balls trick it’s still a long shot guessing the draw.

  2. Betting on footy says:

    Just a lucky guess I’m afraid. There’s just no way the draw could be rigged. One possible explanation would be that the actual draw took place a few hours earlier than everyone thought and when it was shown ‘live’ it was actually a recording and someone leaked the draw. That’s the only possible thing I can think of – but even this would be very hard to pull off. There would have to be an awful lot of people involved in the conspiracy, TV guys, everyone at the draw venue etc etc. It’s just all too far-fetched and we have to put this down to a very lucky guess. Just hope the fella who posted it is doing the lottery this week too!

  3. Pootle says:

    from what I gather, bookmakers don’t generally take bets on the draw for a competition as there’s no way they can set the odds for what, in theory at least, is utterly random.
    Though as you worked in a bookies you may know better.

  4. 200percent says:

    My personal conviction is that the price is very fixed for it, and that any combination of the draw would be the same as any else. The price would be short (at a guess, 50/1 against an actual 104/1 shot of it happening), but I wouldn’t work to the assumption that they wouldn’t lay it.

  5. ursus arctos says:

    Though one would think that a prudent bookie would stop taking bets as soon as he got a run of bets for the same result in such a thin market. It just strikes me as the prudent thing to do.

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