The 200% World Cup: No Up Side Down Under, For Australia

2 By Ian  |   The Ball  |   June 5, 2014  |     16

The optimism that accompanied Australia to previous World Cup finals has been replaced in 2014 by something of a sense of foreboding, as Paul Caulfield writes.

As Brazil 2014 gets going, Australian football fans will be trying to forget the fraught process of actually getting there. Though the Socceroos are safely through to their third successive finals – the tortuous route, through two group stages and 14 matches, was worryingly familiar.
Some patchy results – including a defeat to Jordan and a draw with Oman – saw Australia stumble through to Brazil, securing the vital second place in the six team CONMEBOL group with a narrow win over Iraq. Second half substitute Josh Kennedy of Grampus Eight (Jesus to his team-mates, thanks to his ‘biblical’ appearance) scored the vital goal before 80,000 at Sydney’s ANZ stadium, heading in a Mark Bresciano cross with just eight minutes left, though Kennedy failed to make the cut when the final squad was announced.

The huge turnout showed the Australian appetite for the big occasion, but Socceroos fans will know that such victories are no basis for success in Brazil. Australia’s opponents in a horrible Group B – the Netherlands, Chile and number one ranked Spain – will be far tougher than a team 46 places below them in the rankings. The Chileans are old foes from 40 years ago, but a repeat of the 0-0 draw the Aussies secured in the 1974 group stage would be a major achievement against a team that played England off the Wembley pitch last November.

Perennial rivals Iran continued their excellent qualification record; Brazil 2014 will be their 4th appearance and the second in three tournaments. Their first, in 1978, was memorable for Iraj Danayfar’s late equaliser against Scotland – with an assist from Alan Rough – that secured an early exit for their hubristic opponents. Some Australians are still trying to forget Iran’s next headline-grabbing performance, in the Asia/Oceania playoff for France ’98. A frantic 2-2 draw on 29th November 1997 before 85,000 in Melbourne, eliminated the Aussies despite the recruitment of Terry Venables as coach, and a team full of UK-based players at the top of their game.

The European contingent in today’s squad can make fewer claims to youth and fitness, putting more responsibility – and pressure – on the A and J-League players The reality is that the Socceroos have relied on too many ageing stars. Australia were the second-oldest squad  – behind England at South Africa 2010, and change has been slow, though after Mark Schwarzer’s retirement, the goalkeeper’s berth will be contested by Mitchell Langerak and Brugge’s Matt Ryan, who replaced the Dortmund man for the recent 1-0 win over Costa Rica.

Despite a difficult draw, new coach Angelos (Ange) Postacoglou was upbeat at the prospect of testing his charges against the World’s best. His optimism is far from universal. The ageing squad is a talking point among Socceroos fans, some of whom see the World Cup as a chance to blood younger players in a major tournament. Others see disaster looming in a genuine Group of Death. Without a Rugby World Cup or Ashes tour to distract the public, the Socceroos will be centre-stage this year, and need to return with a victory at least to maintain their profile. The lack-lustre showing against Costa Rica left some fans thinking even this is beyond them.

Qualification was followed by 6-0 defeats against Germany and France, and on that form, a similar collapse against Spain, the Socceroos’ first opponents in Brazil, is a near certainty. The result in Paris earned team coach Holgar Osieck the sack, with Postacoglou, the highly-successful boss at Melbourne Victory the logical replacement. His appointment on a five year contract will have pleased fans wanting an Aussie with links with domestic football, he faced an uphill task to ready his squad. Qualification was followed by one win – over Canada – and four defeats, including losses to Japan and China in the South Asia Cup, with seven goals conceded. Thankfully, Tim Cahill’s winner against Costa Rica averted a mini crisis. Promising Celtic midfielder Tomas Rogic was Man of the Match, though there were problems for Lucas Neill, whose tenuous hold on his international place had many fans at the Costa Rica game calling for his head. His replacement as captain ¬- by Crystal Palace midfielder Mile Jedinak – surprised no-one,

Supporter unrest is understandable. Australian football has been on a downward curve since the country’s most successful World Cup in Germany seven years ago. Then, the squad was based on a core of players who happened to be playing to international standard in Europe. As the Vidukas and Schwarzers neared retirement, the FFA realised that player development could no longer be left to chance, or sacrificed for the sake of leaky World Cup bids – $AUS 45 million (£25milliion) of public money was spent on the 2022 bid for just one vote.
The answer was the formation of the A-League in 2005. The national setup, sponsored by Hyundai, now has ten franchises, though the league has been a magnet for European players in semi-retirement, and is still weak compared to the European setups which will supply many of the Socceroos’ rivals in Brazil.  Any success next summer may stem from gritty Australian sporting values rather than European-honed skills.

Back home, the game is gradually expanding. Regular A-League crowds in 2011-12 averaged 12,366, 11 per cent up on 2010-11, but 4,087 behind nearest rival the NRL, with Aussie Rules and Super Rugby comfortably ahead. Football was the only code to improve its crowds in 2012, while rugby league lost an average 1,626 per game. Much-need investment arrived in November 2012, with an agreement for free-to-air network SBS to share coverage of the A-League with established broadcaster, Fox Sports. The $160 million four year deal will, hopefully, retain the best players and attract the coaches domestic Australian football needs, so that international standard players come through the ranks on a four year, World Cup cycle.

Investment or not, many commentators were pessimistic about the Socceroos, even before the draw, rating their prospects in Brazil on a par with the World Cup pioneers of 1974. The ’74 squad, managed by perfectionist Yugoslav Rale Rasic, included soccer legends Peter ‘Big Willie’ Wilson of Safeway Utd, the Durham-born Socceroos captain, and Johnny Warren of St George-Budapest, who became a respected coach, administrator and broadcaster. The team emerged with no wins but plenty of credit for keeping the goals against down to five, and holding Chile to a 0-0 draw; no mean feat in a group also containing East and West Germany.

It was 32 years before the Socceroos’ next finals appearance. The turning point came in 2006 with a switch from Oceania, with no guaranteed finals berth, to the Asian confederation. The decision was understandable. Three successive play-off defeats had kept Australia out of the finals until 2006, when favourites Uruguay were beaten on penalties after a 1-1 draw on aggregate – Mark Schwarzer making the vital save. The Socceroos have been ever present since. A 3-1 victory over Japan – their first in the finals – and a vital draw with Croatia took them to the last sixteen in Germany, though a repeat of the group stage exit in 2010 is far more likely. In South Africa, a pyrrhic win over Serbia wasn’t enough, after a 4-0 mauling by Germany and a draw with Ghana effectively eliminated them.

Things have declined since then, with Australia now ranked 59 in the world – the lowest in the tournament – and their worst for 11 years. But apart from Brazil, the Aussies may be the best supported country. Thousands are expected to travel – with any gloom assuaged by visions of the Copacabana. On the field, despite the presence of players like Cahill, Jedinak and sparky wide man Tommy Oar, the break-up of the old guard and a lack of suitable replacements could see the pessimists proved right. The controversy over Qatar, and the possibility of a tournament down under in 2022, may placate those fuming at the money spent on Australia’s own thwarted bid. An Australian World Cup is long overdue in a country with the fans and facilities to support it. On the field though, it may be 2018 in Russia before the A-League’s promise is realised and another team emerges to match 2006. Then perhaps, qualification, and the finals themselves, will be less of a trial.

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Ian

Ian began writing Twohundredpercent in May 2006. He lives in Brighton. He has also written for, amongst others, Pitch Invasion, FC Business Magazine, The Score, When Saturday Comes, Stand Against Modern Football and The Football Supporter. Ian was the first winner of the Socrates Award For Not Being Dead Yet at the 2010 NOPA awards for football bloggers.

Comments
  • June 5, 2014 at 10:41 pm

    Ian

    A good analytical summary Paul, thanks.

    Two nitpicky things: Australia didn’t qualify through COMNEBOL. Secondly, one of those 6-0 defeats came against Brazil, not Germany.

    I would also say that you’ve probably missed the main point of Postecoglou picking a young team – Australia knows we have no chance of getting through the group. But we want to win the Asian Cup (being held in Australia) in January. The team needed regeneration.

  • June 7, 2014 at 12:01 am

    Gary Andrews

    Certainly an interesting time to be a Australian football fan. Had they not been drawn into Group B I think most of the public would have seen progressing through the group stages as acceptable. As it is, the mood feels somewhere between delirious belief that it doesn’t matter and utter gloom that it’s all going wrong.

    The Socceroos are definitely a team in transition. There’s some promising young players like James Troisi and Adam Taggart who’ve had good seasons and a few decent players developing overseas.

    Largely, the most sensible thing Postecoglou can do is to blood youngsters, play with no fear and build a team for the 2015 Asian Cup.

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